EIA STEO updates wood, waste biomass consumption estimates
The U.S. Energy Information Administration has released the September issue of its Short-Term Energy Outlook, which includes updated forecasts for generation of electricity from wood biomass and waste biomass fuel sources.
Overall, the EIA projects total U.S. electricity generation will grow by 0.2 percent in 2013 and 0.4 percent in 2014. Renewable energy consumption for electricity and heat generation are expected to by 3.3 percent in 2103, with non-hydropower renewables used for power and heat generation growing by 7.8 percent. In 2014, the growth in renewables consumption is projected to continue to grow at a rate of 3.8 percent, including a 4.1 percent in non-hydropower renewables.
Wood biomass is expected to generate an average of 105,000 MWh of electricity per day in 2013, up from 103,000 MWh per day across all sectors. In 2014, the use of wood is expected to increase, resulting in 110,000 MWh per day of electricity generation. On a quarterly basis, wood biomass was used to generate an average of 96,000 MWh of electricity per day during the second quarter of 2013, increasing to a projected 107,000 MWh per day in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter of this year, wood biomass is expected to generate 109,000 MWh per day.
Waste biomass is expected to generate 55,000 MWh of electricity per day this year across all sectors, maintaining the 2012 production level. Next year, electricity generation from waste biomass is forecast to increase to 57,000 MWh per day.
In the electric power sector, wood biomass is expected to consume 0.184 quadrillion Btu (quad) in 2103, up from 0.176 quad last year. Consumption is expected to increase to 0.212 quad in 2014. Waste biomass consumption by the electric power sector is expected to reach 0.256 quad this year, an increase from 0.253 quad in 2012. The sector’s consumption of waste biomass is forecast to increase to 02.66 quad next year.
The EIA estimates the industrial sector will consume 1.266 quad of wood biomass this year, along with 0.178 quad of waste biomass. In 2012, the industrial sector consumed 1.281 quad of wood biomass and 0.171 quad of waste biomass. Next year, consumption is expected to reach 1.231 quad for wood biomass and 1.181 quad for waste biomass.
The commercial sector is expected to consume 0.063 quad of wood biomass this year, up from 0.062 quad last year, with consumption maintained at 0.063 quad in 2014. The sector is also expected to consume 0.047 quad of waste biomass this year, up from 0.044 quad last year. Consumption of waste biomass is expected to increase to 0.048 quad next year.
In addition, the EIA estimates the residential sector will consume 0.420 quad of wood biomass this year, maintaining the 2012 consumption level. Residential consumption of wood biomass fuels is expected to drop slightly in 2014, reaching only 0.414 quad.