EIA releases 2018 bioenergy forecasts

By Erin Voegele | January 13, 2017

The U.S. Energy Information Administration has released the January edition of its Short-Term Energy Outlook, predicting total renewables used in the electric power sector will fall by 0.3 percent in 2017 and increase by 7.3 percent in 2018. Consumption of renewable energy from sources other than hydropower in the electric power sector is expected to grow by 1.3 percent this year and 9.8 percent next year.

Electricity generation from wood biomass is expected to be at 110,000 MWh per day this year, increasing to 111,000 MWh per day next year. Generation from waste biomass is expected to be at 58,000 MWh per day in both 2017 and 2018.

The electric power sector is expected to consume 0.216 quadrillion Btu (quad) of wood biomass this year, increasing to 0.222 quad next year. The sector is also expected to consume 0.272 quad of waste biomass in 2017, increasing to 0.273 quad in 2017.

The industrial sector is expected to consume 1.23 quad of wood biomass in 2017, maintaining that level through 2018. The sector is also expected to consume 0.195 quad of waste biomass in both 2017 and 2018.

The commercial sector is expected to consume 0.078 quad of wood biomass in 2017 and 2018. In addition, the sector is forecast to consume 0.049 quad of waste biomass this year, maintaining that level of consumption into 2018.

The residential sector is currently expected to consume 0.426 quad of wood biomass in both 2017 and 2018.

The EIA current estimates 2.48 million U.S. households will use wood as a primary heating fuel during the 2016-’17 winter, up 1.3 percent when compared to last winter. This includes 536,000 households in the Northeast, down 0.9 percent; 612,000 households in the Midwest, up 1.7 percent; 601,000 households in the South, up 3.4 percent; and 731,000 households in the West, up 1 percent.